Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.298012 11.402237 12.587758 13.957303 15.498419 17.181919 19.164153
2025-09-21 8.378487 9.846132 11.531508 13.618365 16.144312 19.117034 22.901296
2025-09-28 7.090217 8.764384 10.800858 13.479216 16.936760 21.287180 27.234594
2025-10-05 6.356557 8.219983 10.606946 13.923534 18.467335 24.554210 33.460848
2025-10-12 5.757583 7.747933 10.417338 14.314333 19.950723 27.951290 40.429675
2025-10-19 5.173776 7.208510 10.049695 14.383489 20.964239 30.810046 47.097736
2025-10-26 4.639650 6.665161 9.596178 14.245797 21.623352 33.204850 53.437281
2025-11-02 4.180927 6.173055 9.149796 14.043113 22.126500 35.393700 59.786783
2025-11-09 3.786495 5.730964 8.722423 13.802875 22.513478 37.416019 66.169907
2025-11-16 3.464206 5.364751 8.368854 13.628788 22.969164 39.593069 73.192582
2025-11-23 3.203572 5.069047 8.093880 13.545644 23.556976 42.067048 81.211334
2025-11-30 3.045087 4.923396 8.048230 13.847899 24.869335 46.062656 93.044767
2025-12-07 2.825262 4.659038 7.782511 13.738945 25.425089 48.739873 102.789404
2025-12-14 2.601328 4.367684 7.441877 13.452484 25.598719 50.680033 111.332515
2025-12-21 2.427715 4.149058 7.209358 13.342968 26.109554 53.402014 122.299057
2025-12-28 2.348058 4.091443 7.264163 13.799504 27.856563 59.098592 141.899404
2026-01-04 2.266349 4.022173 7.289191 14.197108 29.532952 64.927520 163.325328
2026-01-11 2.152797 3.883024 7.166267 14.272133 30.501177 69.256402 181.804472
2026-01-18 2.026238 3.708383 6.957453 14.139525 30.972538 72.449600 197.882321
2026-01-25 1.903990 3.532367 6.730184 13.940846 31.259508 75.225662 213.464732
2026-02-01 1.788499 3.360833 6.497269 13.703943 31.421138 77.703967 228.811351
2026-02-08 1.688806 3.213553 6.302170 13.532072 31.722056 80.616141 246.418604
2026-02-15 1.605151 3.092748 6.152679 13.450075 32.242445 84.239073 267.535741